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| A Gore/Obama ticket would kill Hillary first, and then the GOP. Let's be thankful it isn't going to happen. By dskinner11 Al Gore is apparently not going to run for the Democratic nomination for President. He denies that he is interested and his closest advisors indicate that he really does mean it. First let me explain how I think Al Gore could actually beat Hillary even though he would be entering so late, then I will explain why I think he would crush us in the general election. Most politicos probably agree that if Al Gore ran on his own he wouldn't be able to stop the Hillary machine from walking away with the nomination due to her enormous advantages in organization and fundraising. However, there is one way that Al Gore could stop the Clinton machine and win the nomination. A Gore/Obama ticket formed now would be able to stop Hillary from winning the nomination. This obviously would mean Obama would have to essentially admit defeat and settle for the VP slot, but looking at the polls it doesn't seem like he has much of a chance on his own anyway. Also, all indications are that Hillary will not choose Obama as her VP meaning that this year is probably Obama's best chance at getting on the Dem ticket. If Hillary wins or loses he would have to go against her VP at a time where he wouldn't be such a fresh face who can hide from his record. I doubt any of Obama's current supporters would jump ship and move to Hillary over such a move since Gore is adored by all Dems. Gore would step into Obama's fundraising and organization and probably be able to add some of his own leftover from 2000. Since Gore is a Southerner and is worshiped by the far left he probably would take away some from John Edwards who currently occupies both of those roles. I also believe that Gore would get a significant chunk of Hillary's support that is only with her because she is the presumptive nominee. They could win Iowa, be close in NH and then take SC and squeeze out a victory on Super Tuesday. Why would that be such a bad sequence of events for the GOP? - Millions of voters, including those elusive moderate voters, believe Gore should have won in 2000 and now they have serious buyer’s remorse with GWB. That will probably put them in a mood to give Gore a shot because it only seems fair. - Gore is a celebrity to many moderates who view him as a hero for the Global Warming garbage that won him an Academy Award and a Nobel Peace Prize. Obama has very low negatives and is also well-liked by many moderates for his non-specific and happy rhetoric. - The combination of Gore being Southern, higher turnout from African Americans and Warner’s coattails probably would cause us to lose Tennessee and Virginia. Florida would potentially be in play due to remorse from 2000 and higher African American turnout. We would also be in trouble in every purple state because even though Gore and Obama are more liberal than Clinton, they are viewed as being more moderate and are certainly less polarizing. States like Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Missouri, Iowa and Wisconsin would be much harder to win if against a Gore/Obama ticket than they would be against a Clinton/Bayh ticket. Our best hope against that ticket would probably be Thompson/Pawlenty. If we could flip MN and hold TN then we would have a fighting chance to win it, but it still would be an uphill battle in OH, MO and the Southwest. Apparently, Gore doesn’t want this, Gore hasn’t thought of this or Obama refused the offer. Whatever the case I am very grateful because I think we have 10 better odds against Hillary than we would against a Gore/Obama ticket. |