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Title: How Bush Risks an Islamist Bomb
Description: This is long but worth your time.


al001 - July 23, 2007 11:45 AM (GMT)
I am posting this older article from consortiumnews.com by guest writer Ivan Eland for many reasons.

Not because we are losing in Afghanistan because Bush began pulling the needed troops from that theater where they were needed to reposition them for the invasion in Iraq, a war that had been planned long before the actual invasion and designed not by military commanders whom should have been the leading source of such an expedition but instead by civilian politicians and by the neo-conservative cartel known as the Project for a New American Century which began this process in 1999 and it’s high ranking membership included the likes of Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld, Jeb Bush and a large part of Bush’s cabinet.

I am not posting this because Bush has lied to us from the beginning of this by saying that if they, Iraq would allow UN inspectors in to do their job it could be avoided. The truth is they were allowed in and did have the open ended ability to do their job. Or that he knew where all the stock piles of chemical weapons existed but would tell no one, not even the UN in Iraq who asked many time for the location. But then he couldn’t tell them because the stock piles didn’t exist and according to him the UN inspectors were not there.

I am not posting this article because Bush and his team was well briefed on the al Qaeda threat when he took office but chose to put them last on his list of priorities, well below tax cuts for the rich. Nor am I this posting due to the fact that he had in hand a briefing on Bin Laden Determined to use Hi-jacked Planes to attack inside the United States but ignored them.

Rice stated before the Senate that had they know Bin Laden intended to use aircraft as missiles they would have taken action but it was Rice who removed Richard Clark from his post as the terrorist czar to a position where he had no say and no one in the Administration would listen to him and his warnings. If they had they would have know that Bin Laden had already tried just such a thing on American soil but failed and his belief that they would try again.

We all know there were no WMD’s, Iraq had not connection to al Qeada until we invaded and they had nothing to do with 9/11. We also all know that the ruling powers who stole the White House in 2000 needed an event equivalent to Pearl Harbor to initate their agenda of military use to control the oil rich nationals that were not currently cooperating with us. The first of course was Iraq.

No I am posting this because we are openly stating our intent to involve our power in Pakistan, our ally. An for this I quote the BBC Monday July 23, 2007
Pakistan has responded angrily to suggestions from the United States that American forces might be sent into Pakistan to strike at Osama Bin Laden.

Abdul Quader Kahn, the father of Pakistan’s nuclear program, the one selling nuclear plans to Iran, Syria, Libya, and North Korea during the entire time of the war and well before is considered a national hero and has never been prosecuted for his crimes. In fact he still has his Headquarters in Dubai where he freely travels and his companies worldwide selling the parts are still running. As put recently by one CIA agent, “It’s like a Nuclear Wal-Mart.”

No the reason I’m posting this is because Pres. Misharraf is on the edge of losing his American backed position and this will give Pakistan to the radical Islamic groups such as the Taliban, al Qaeda and just plain American haters. Even of a more scary nature is that this will leave our troops in Afghanistan isolated and Pakistan under radical rule and with nuclear weapons. With this turn of events included with the chess game being played by the Bush Administration with Iran and Syria we are facing an all out war in the Middle East…Do any of you feel we are ready for this?

I will now stop wasting your time and post the article.

http://www.consortiumnews.com/2007/053007a.html

How Bush Risks an Islamist Bomb
By Ivan Eland
May 30, 2007


Editor's Note: Among the many catastrophes surrounding George W. Bush's Middle East wars is possibly the bitterest irony of all -- that he is laying the groundwork for radical Islamists to get an atomic bomb via the collapse of Pakistan's pro-U.S. dictator Pervez Musharraf.

In this guest essay, the Independent Institute's Ivan Eland looks at how Bush's bungled policies in Afghanistan and Iraq are leading inexorably to an even worse disaster:


The Bush administration has failed to capture or kill Osama bin Laden or to win the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. Now, the administration has also missed the chance to maintain a stable nuclear-armed Pakistan.

Like the U.S. policy toward the Shah’s Iran in the 1960s and 1970s, the Bush administration, despite a rhetorical commitment to spread democracy around the world, has put all of its eggs in the basket of an autocrat unlikely to survive—in this case, Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf.

Although Musharraf has used the U.S. war on terror to play the United States like a fiddle, the Bush administration believes there is no better alternative. Unfortunately, backing Musharraf could create a nuclear-armed Pakistan controlled by radical Islamists.

Unfortunately, Pakistan probably has already been “lost,” and U.S. policy has played an important role in its demise. U.S. policymakers have repeatedly underestimated the consequences of the deep unpopularity engendered by profligate U.S. government meddling in the affairs of other countries.

In Iran, although the Shah’s government was brutal, the regime also became so identified with its unpopular U.S. benefactor that the United States became a major contributing factor in its collapse and replacement with a militant and enduring Islamist substitute.

The Bush administration, with its macho bravado, has had a tin ear for the ramifications of anti-U.S hatred. After 9/11, instead of using the attacks as a justification to go after Saddam Hussein’s Iraq, the Bush administration had the opportunity to eliminate the Taliban in Afghanistan, take full advantage of Musharraf’s limited-time offer to give the U.S. military free reign in Pakistan to hunt down bin Laden and al Qaeda, and then withdraw from the region.

Instead, the Bush administration allowed mission creep to take its eyes off the prize of taking down al Qaeda. The U.S. mission in Afghanistan turned to nation-building, counterinsurgency, and cutting off the drug trade. The continued occupation of Afghanistan by non-Muslim forces and the close U.S. support for the dictator Musharraf in neighboring Pakistan, predictably revved up Pakistani Islamic militants and gradually turned them against his regime.

In an attempt to discreetly court these militants to support his government and to maintain the flow of U.S. military aid to ostensibly fight them, Musharraf allowed these groups to operate in the wild tribal regions of western Pakistan on the Afghan border and even reached a truce with them to withdraw the Pakistani government’s military forces from these areas. This wink and nod policy has allowed both al Qaeda and the militant Taliban to recover and step up attacks from these safe havens.

Given Musharraf’s unenthusiastic pursuit of al Qaeda in Pakistan, why does the United States continue to support him? The answer is mainly a fear of “instability”—read, any change of leadership in a nuclear weapons state.

The United States fears that the only alternative to Musharraf in a nuclear-armed Pakistan is the Islamic militants; but this outcome is actually more likely if the unpopular United States continues to zealously back Musharraf. At the same time Musharraf’s popularity has faded. He has faced mass protests across Pakistan for his increased despotism and his suspension of the country’s chief justice.

Musharraf feared that the judge, Iftikhar Mohammed Chaudhry, might issue rulings that would interfere with his attempt to have the parliament elect him to another five-year term. In addition, several former Pakistani generals have talked openly about overthrowing him in a coup.

But it may be too late to control a coup and reestablish military rule. The Islamists have been strengthened by Musharraf’s suppression of alternative non-Islamic opposition parties; Musharraf has said that their leaders—exiled former prime ministers Benazir Bhutto and Nawa Sharif—will not be allowed to return for upcoming parliamentary elections.

The Bush administration should change policy and end the occupation of Afghanistan, which would cool the Taliban resurgence in Afghanistan and the Islamic militancy in Pakistan. In addition, the United States should threaten to cut off aid to Pakistan unless Musharraf and his intelligence services make a genuine attempt to capture or kill bin Laden.

With a cooling of militant Islam in the region, Musharraf should have more leeway to pursue bin Laden without an Islamist backlash. Finally, the United States should press Musharraf to genuinely open Pakistani elections to non-Islamist parties and allow their leaders to return from exile. These actions would further erode support from the Islamist radicals.

Unfortunately, keeping the Islamists around, but contained, has been good for the autocratic Musharraf regime. The problem is that the instability caused by this policy can no longer be contained.

Like the Shah of Iran, Musharraf must use increased violence to put down popular protests, thus further fueling the spreading uprisings. The Shah’s Iran and Pakistan have one important difference, however: Pakistan has nuclear weapons.
Tragically, the Bush administration may eventually give the world an Islamist bomb.

Ivan Eland is Director of the Center on Peace & Liberty at The Independent Institute and Assistant Editor of The Independent Review. Dr. Eland has been Director of Defense Policy Studies at the Cato Institute, Principal Defense Analyst at the Congressional Budget Office, Evaluator-in-Charge (national security and intelligence) for the U.S. General Accounting Office, and Investigator for the House Foreign Affairs Committee.

thisplanet - July 31, 2007 12:04 AM (GMT)
Al001,
Pretty scary and what scares me more is that they might be looking at that as the perfect boost to get the country to turn around and support their war iniatives. But if it did happen, at least the Patriot Act would protect us all from the "end the war in Iraq" liberals, for sure no one would dare open their mouth against military actions. The Bush Administration could gain another 4 years, maybe even with his "unlimited powers" Bush could even decide to serve those extra 4 years himself like FDR, activate the draft and since they got Canada to agree to not shelter draft dodgers that also seems to be a lucky coincident. It all seems part of a plan to me.

The GOOD, the OMINOUS and the UGLY: Oil, Climate Change, War! No, I am not ready for any of this. Dealing with depleting oil combined with the affects of climate change is going to be difficult with or without wars over diminishing resources. War will no doubt make it worse as nations in an effort to secure their futures end up destroying more than is gained, creating more problems and tensions, and waste time and resources in doing so. Will we agree to aggressive military actions and preemptive war to justify our own needs when we reach a critical shortages? Or will our concerns be more personal, how do I get to work or the store, how do I get food, heat in the winter, keep my job? What choice will we have when other nation's actions, military or otherwise, make valuable resources unavailable to us? We are a super power now only in as much as military technology, would we not be more powerful as one of many nations who stand by a policy of non-aggression and diplomacy, rather than the one nation everyone fears? Throw nuclear detonations into the mix and you can kiss most rational thinking out the window.
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P.S. thanks for the Ruppert update - I really appreciate it
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Just now saw an opening quote for the documentary "The American Ruling Class"
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"Money to get power , power to protect money." - Motto of the Medici Family
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here is some interesting stuff I have been digging up on the internet
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CHENEY QUOTE

"By 2010 we will need [a further] 50 million barrels a day. The Middle East, with two-thirds of the oil and the lowest cost, is still where the prize lies." (Dick Cheney; US Vice-President, 1999)

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An interesting book about war.

Book review: On the Causes of War by Michael Andregg
Book Review: On the Causes of War
The real causes of war, Andregg concluded, are much more complicated than most of his interviewees intimated. Andregg believes that the ultimate causes of war are embedded in human nature itself; therefore, the possible triggering mechanisms are many and varied. More than half of his book is an exploration of 20 specific proximate causes of war and how they work. These include: the competition for resources and power, population pressure, authoritarian law and militant religion, corruption of governance, nationalism, “forces of evil,” and spies, cults, and secret power systems.

With regard to each of these proximate causes, Andregg attempts to calculate its effect on the probability of war by using a predictive instrument called the “Three Green Lights” model. According to Andregg, organized, state-sponsored killing requires (1) decisions by leaders of a government; (2) support from a population; and (3) physical means for killing (i.e. weapons). If these three “green lights” are not reciprocated in the targeted nation or group, the result is genocide. If they are reciprocated, the result is war. The presence or degree of contributing proximate causes affects the likelihood of the three “green lights.”

(For some reason the book is not available, and for some reason it had been made available otherwise.)

Download FREE .pdf version of "On The Causes of War," 289 pages, (1.35Mb)
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CHENEY QUOTE
http://www.oilempire.us/iraq.html
"If you're going to go in and try to topple Saddam Hussein,you have to go to Baghdad. Once you've got Baghdad, it's not clear what you do with it. It's not clear what kind of government you would put in place of the one that's currently there now. Is it going to be a Shia regime, a Sunni regime or a Kurdish regime? Or one that tilts toward the Baathists, or one that tilts toward the Islamic fundamentalists?
How much credibility is that government going to have if it's set up by the United States military when it's there? How long does the United States military have to stay to protect the people that sign on for that government, and what happens to it once we leave?"
-- Dick Cheney, 1991
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And how about this subliminal slip?
Operation Iraqi Liberation -OIL ??@*!&??
Press Briefing by Ari Fleischer
http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/20...20030324-4.html

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Read how nations divvy up the planet staking their claims on oil today.

WORLD: Global Competition for Energy Heats Up
http://www.corpwatch.org/article.php?id=12175&printsafe=1
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The New Seven Sisters: Today's Most Powerful Energy Companies
http://energy.seekingalpha.com/article/30922
In order of prominence, they are Saudi Aramco , Russia's Gazprom, CNPC of China, NIOC of Iran, Venezuela's PDVSA, Brazil's Petrobras and Petronas of Malaysia.
The New Seven Sisters control about one-third of the world's oil and gas production and reserves. In contrast, descendants of the Seven Sisters -- ExxonMobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX) of the U.S. and Europe's BP (BP) and Royal Dutch Shell -- produce only about 10% of the world's oil and gas and hold just 3% of its reserves. And if anything, the New Seven Sisters are set to grow even more powerful. The International Energy Agency [IEA] calculates that over the next 40 years, 90% of new supplies will come from developing countries.


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