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Title: FOX News Poll: Obama & Gore Trail Hillary


earthmother - December 8, 2006 02:14 AM (GMT)
Hey, it's FOX, but again, Gore's in the poll, and he's in a statistical dead-heat with Obama. :good:

www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,235197,00.html

FOX News Poll: Obama Trails Clinton in 2008 Dem Primary

Thursday , December 07, 2006

By Dana Blanton

NEW YORK — Despite the almost incredible amount of buzz about potential presidential hopeful Illinois Sen. Barack Obama, the latest FOX News poll finds that New York Sen. Hillary Clinton soundly outperforms Obama in the Democratic primary and also in hypothetical head-to-head matchups. Even though a lot could change before 2008, so far Republicans have clearly coalesced around former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani and Arizona Sen. John McCain as their party’s frontrunners.

President George W. Bush’s job performance rating is unchanged from last month -- currently 38 percent of Americans approve and 54 percent disapprove.

Opinion Dynamics Corporation conducted the national telephone poll of 900 registered voters for FOX News from December 5 to December 6. The poll has a 3-point error margin.

2008 Vote for President

Among Democrats, 33 percent say they would back Clinton if their party’s primary were held today, putting her well ahead of the other hopefuls, including Obama at 12 percent and former Vice President Al Gore at 11 percent. Former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards receives the support of 8 percent and Mass. Sen. John Kerry 6 percent. All others receive 2 percent or less.

Click here for more results on attitudes toward candidate characteristics, including religion and gender.

When offered just two choices, Democrats choose Clinton over Obama by 52 percent to 30 percent; if the only choices are Clinton and Gore, the former first lady has the edge by 53 percent to 36 percent.

"Sen. Clinton starts as the clear favorite among Democrats," comments Opinion Dynamics Chairman John Gorman. "They know her and many of them look back positively on the Clinton Presidency. It is going to be hard to shake those dreams of restoration."

On the Republican primary side, the two frontrunners remain unchanged from previous polling: Giuliani (30 percent) and McCain (23 percent) far outdistance the competition. Former Speaker Newt Gingrich (9 percent) and Mass. Gov. Mitt Romney (8 percent) are the only other contenders who register above 3 percent.

Click here for the poll archive

Giuliani (42 percent) tops McCain (40 percent) by just 2 percentage points when Republicans are asked to pick between only those two candidates, and McCain tops Romney by 59 percent to 14 percent.

Hypothetical Horse Races

In head-to-head matchups, Giuliani has a 9-point and McCain an 8-point edge over Clinton. These results are essentially unchanged from previous polling.

When the Democratic candidate is Obama, the Republican advantage increases. Giuliani bests Obama by 11 points and McCain tops him by 19 points.

2008 Vote for President

Clinton 39% vs. Giuliani 48

Clinton 40% vs. McCain 48

Obama 35% vs. Giuliani 46

Obama 30% vs. McCain 49

Finally, even though it is almost two years away, more than one of four voters (29 percent) says they are already "extremely" interested in the 2008 presidential election, including 33 percent of Republicans and 29 percent of Democrats.


ALGOREismylife - December 8, 2006 02:24 AM (GMT)
I'm really sick of hearing the names McCain and Giuliani...........no not because they are republicans, but because they keep putting them up against a woman and an African-American, whom are both Democrats. Who ever puts together these polls must be a racist and/or a bigot who knows damn well this country is too racist and bigoted for either a woman or African-American president. :angry:

Those of course are not my feelings, I would love to see an African-American or a woman as president after PRESIDENT AL GORE serves his rightful eight years as our president.

And what's the big deal about Giuliani??? So what, he was the mayor of New York during 9/11. That hardly qualifies him as presidential material. :angry:

earthmother - December 8, 2006 03:06 AM (GMT)
Well, all these polls are pitting the top two on each side against each other, regardless of race or gender, AGIML. I don't know why Giuliani's so popular. He doesn't stand a chance of winning the nomination. Too liberal. Pro-choice? They'll never go for it. But for now, most people don't have any idea what any of these people actually stand for, and that includes McCain, Hillary, and Obama (and Gore). Until the campaign really gets underway, people will vote for candidates in these polls based on all kinds of things other than what they believe in--charisma, looks, perceived popularity, etc. And as long as that situation remains, McCain and Giuliani and Hillary and Obama will be on top.

Wayne in WA State - December 8, 2006 08:01 AM (GMT)
QUOTE (ALGOREismylife @ Dec 7 2006, 08:24 PM)
I'm really sick of hearing the names McCain and Giuliani...........no not because they are republicans, but because they keep putting them up against a woman and an African-American,  whom are both Democrats. Who ever puts together these polls must be a racist and/or a bigot who knows damn well this country is too racist and bigoted for either a woman or African-American president.  :angry:

Those of course are not my feelings, I would love to see an African-American or a woman as president after PRESIDENT AL GORE serves his rightful eight years as our president.

And what's the big deal about Giuliani??? So what, he was the mayor of New York during 9/11. That hardly qualifies him as presidential material.  :angry:

It is a good question to ask why is anyone taking Giuliani seriously. He's not a governor, not a senator, not a vice president. He's just a Mayor :?:

The reason is because after September 11th when America was looking for leadership, George W. Bush was AWOL once again :bad: When he was hiding in his undisclosed location Mayor Giuliani was the first official to step forward and he does have presence and can give a decent speech. This was a very intense point in history, and at these intense moments, people remember what happened and our minds develop lasting imprints. Kind of like how so many people remember where they were when President Kennedy was shot (no, I'm not that old myself).

Days later Bush showed up for his speech with his bullhorn. His one minute of legitimate fame. But, had the President shown up right away then the mayor would not be remembered the way he is. Not my original idea but I think it makes sense.

You can bet that Al Gore, Bill Clinton, John Kerry, Jimmy Carter and maybe even George Sr. would have shown up right away. What do you expect from from these spoiled and greedy crooks who are so willing to risk others lives but never their own.

:spikey:

ReElectAlGore2008 - December 9, 2006 12:00 AM (GMT)
The Mayor of NYC is the 2nd most important job in America after the President.

So its been said over the years in New York City.
(And I am a John V. Lindsay fan from way back).

But the mayor that should become President (if Al Don't run) is not Rudy but Michael Bloomberg, and he may run on the Unity08 ticket independent

But only if Al don't run would I consider voting for him.

Wayne in WA State - December 9, 2006 07:47 AM (GMT)
Sure the Mayor of NYC is a very important job. But is it more important than Vice-President, Speaker of the House, or Governor of California, or Senate Majority Leader? I'm not so sure about that. But more directly to the point, how many politicians have gone directly from being a Mayor to being a top tier candidate to win the Presidential Nomination? Little to none that I know of. Perhaps mayor Lindsay was a viable candidate for the Republican nomination back in 1968 or thereabouts. But it's an unusual thing to happen in American politics. No?

ALGOREismylife - December 9, 2006 07:09 PM (GMT)
http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/index.cfm?...em&itemID=14032

Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
Democrats 2008: Hillary Leads, Obama and Gore Next

December 9, 2006

- Hillary Rodham Clinton is still the main contender in the race for the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination in 2008, according to a poll by Opinion Dynamics released by Fox News. 33 per cent of respondents would vote for the New York senator in a presidential primary.

Illinois senator Barack Obama is second on the list with 12 per cent, followed by former vice-president Al Gore with 11 per cent, former North Carolina senator John Edwards with eight per cent, and Massachusetts senator and 2004 presidential nominee John Kerry with six per cent. Support is lower for Indiana senator Evan Bayh, Delaware senator Joseph Biden, Iowa governor Tom Vilsack and New Mexico governor Bill Richardson.

Rodham Clinton—a former first lady—has served in the U.S. Senate since 2001. On Nov. 7, she earned a new six-year term in the upper house, defeating former Yonkers mayor John Spencer with 67 per cent of all cast ballots.

On Dec. 7, Rodham Clinton introduced a campaign geared at informing parents about the rating system of the video game industry, declaring, "We all share in the responsibility of making sure our children play age-appropriate video games."

In American elections, candidates require 270 votes in the Electoral College to win the White House. In November 2004, Republican George W. Bush earned a second term after securing 286 electoral votes from 31 states. Kerry received 252 electoral votes from 19 states and the District of Columbia.

Bush is ineligible for a third term in office. The next presidential election is scheduled for November 2008.

Polling Data

If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were:

Dec. 2006
Aug. 2006
Mar. 2006

Hillary Rodham Clinton
33%
32%
43%

Barack Obama
12%
n.a.
n.a.

Al Gore
11%
15%
12%

John Edwards
8%
9%
11%

John Kerry
6%
13%
10%

Evan Bayh
2%
2%
2%

Joseph Biden
2%
4%
4%

Tom Vilsack
2%
n.a.
n.a.

Wesley Clark
1%
4%
4%

Bill Richardson
1%
n.a.
n.a.

Other
3%
2%
--

Not sure
20%
18%
10%

Would not vote
--
1%
1%



earthmother - December 9, 2006 09:54 PM (GMT)
As I said in another thread, Obama and Gore are in a statitistical dead-heat. And I think he will start fizzle, while Gore solidifies his support.

But then there's Hillary . . . <_<

earthmother - December 9, 2006 09:56 PM (GMT)
Merged these two topics because they overlap . . . :construction:

Wayne in WA State - December 10, 2006 05:53 AM (GMT)
QUOTE (earthmother @ Dec 9 2006, 03:54 PM)
As I said in another thread, Obama and Gore are in a statitistical dead-heat.  And I think he will start fizzle, while Gore solidifies his support.

But then there's Hillary . . .  <_<

Al and Hillary both have books coming out this spring. I think the book sales race between them will be telling. If Gores book is a big hit and Hillary Clinton's book is a yawn, that should mean a lot.

I'll do my part and purchase Al Gore's new book. I think it will be a powerful examination of a vital topic.

"The Assault on Reason"

earthmother - December 10, 2006 04:22 PM (GMT)
I expect Gore's book to be really interesting, probably similar to his many terrific speeches where he's touched on this topic.

I can't imagine what Hillary's book would be. My life with Bill? Seriously. Does anyone know what her book is about?




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